Re: Logic Puzzles
Well, there's still obviously something I'm missing. What can the first person do? They obviously have to try at least 30 boxes. Even if they do 30, that would still only be a 30% chance, which would mean everyone else would need a 100% chance, would obviously wouldn't happen, so they need to try more than 30. If they try 40, then that's a 40% chance, and even if the second person know it was in one of the first 40, they'd still barely have more than a 1/2 chance of finding theirs, which would mean it's already below 30%. If the first person tries 50, then they're still at 50%, but then the next person now knows the first person's was one of the first 50, but still is limited to a 50/99 chance by choosing the second 50, which is still a microscopic difference over 1/2, which means they still lose. Let's see, what else can they do. Person one could open different boxes than just 1-50, but it really makes no difference. Hmm, are they any other options. The first person could open 50, and the second person could guess that the first person probably found it about half way through, which would be about 25, and start from there, and keep repeating that, but they'd still already be under 30% after even the second person. I really don't get this. There must be something I don't understand.
Well, there's still obviously something I'm missing. What can the first person do? They obviously have to try at least 30 boxes. Even if they do 30, that would still only be a 30% chance, which would mean everyone else would need a 100% chance, would obviously wouldn't happen, so they need to try more than 30. If they try 40, then that's a 40% chance, and even if the second person know it was in one of the first 40, they'd still barely have more than a 1/2 chance of finding theirs, which would mean it's already below 30%. If the first person tries 50, then they're still at 50%, but then the next person now knows the first person's was one of the first 50, but still is limited to a 50/99 chance by choosing the second 50, which is still a microscopic difference over 1/2, which means they still lose. Let's see, what else can they do. Person one could open different boxes than just 1-50, but it really makes no difference. Hmm, are they any other options. The first person could open 50, and the second person could guess that the first person probably found it about half way through, which would be about 25, and start from there, and keep repeating that, but they'd still already be under 30% after even the second person. I really don't get this. There must be something I don't understand.

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