Evolution: Mathematically improbably?

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  • WigglesTheGreat
    FFR Player
    • Mar 2007
    • 1

    #31
    Re: Evolution: Mathematically improbably?

    Statistics in something like this have little bearing. Every characteristic you have, from the color of your eyes to the number of pores on your body, could have been otherwise. I'm not saying God has no command over it. An omnipotent power could have just as easily willed that you have blonde hair as it could will that your hair is brown, red, or purple, really.
    Given all the things that could be changed about you, the chances of you being exactly the way you are (or even anyone exactly like you ever walking the earth) are unfathomably small when you take into account every single alterable thing about your body and mind, no matter what your belief is concerning how you came to be. Are you willing to assert that you do not exist just because the chances dont support it?

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    • perkeyone
      FFR Player
      • Dec 2005
      • 240

      #32
      Re: Evolution: Mathematically improbably?

      Originally posted by bbyt
      According to Borel’s Law anything with a chance smaller than 10^-50 (this number in decimal would look like .0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000 1) is deemed to be impossible regardless of the amount of chances or time one could assume. Noted Evolutionist Richard Dawkins proposed a loose standard of 10^-20 and stated that anything smaller is biologically impossible (Dawkins 1996). More recently the mathematician William Dembski, placed a much more stringent set of requirements of improbability and asserted that anything over 10^-150 should be deemed as absolutely impossible (Mastropaolo 1999).
      these theories are false for 2 reasons

      1 (assuming a coin has an equal chance of landing on heads and tails and that it can only land on one or the other)
      the probability of a coin landing on heads is 50%
      the probability of a coin landing on the same side 167 times in a row is
      1.07 * 10^-50. or (.5^166) that is (100% chance once then 50% 166 times)
      according to Borel's law a coin can land on the sam side 167 times in a row however the probability of it landing on heads 167 times in a row is
      5.35 * 10^-51. or (.5^167) that is (50% repeated 167 times)
      as is the probability of landing on tails 167 times in a row
      so according to borel's law the coin can land on the same side 167 times but it cant land on either heads or tails thats same number of times.

      2 there are an infinite number of chances for any even to occur so if an even is possible then it will occur and or has occured and or will continue to occur.

      as for the big bang
      my opinion is that the "multiverse" has always existed with no begining or end and that the begining of our universe was brought about by a big bang. the big bang occured when a super dense singularity exploded. the singularity was the product of an enormus black hole that had be come so huge and dense that the matter inside caused it to over heat. the matter inside the black hole would have come from previous universes and it would have always existed (matter can not be created or destroyed)

      of course if there is an infinite span of time in both directions (past and future) one might argue that it would be impossible to reach the "present" frame. and therefor the "present" would never occur. however consider this: the "present" frame never occurs. the frame is always going to be aproching infinity. this would allow an infinite past and future and would also explain why time is "occuring" or "passing". this is one of the reasons time is considered an illusion or relative.

      as for the spontainious creation of life http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_life
      Last edited by perkeyone; 03-16-2007, 02:39 PM.

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