In your first post you said there is no fact, only hope and history. Maybe a better example of this would be a labrat in a cage.
A rat is in a cage. There is a button set up in the cage. As soon as the rat presses the button, food is released from a door on the side of the cage. After eating, the rat tries this again, hoping for the same results. It isn't yet a fact that pressing the button will result in the same result, but the rat hopes that it does, based on the history of the first time it worked.
Maybe that is what you meant?
A rat is in a cage. There is a button set up in the cage. As soon as the rat presses the button, food is released from a door on the side of the cage. After eating, the rat tries this again, hoping for the same results. It isn't yet a fact that pressing the button will result in the same result, but the rat hopes that it does, based on the history of the first time it worked.
Maybe that is what you meant?




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