Spontaneous Contest – #58940-384856.2 – Guess NOW!
Our Winners!
Gameplays: 171,079,352. Top 3: Emerald000, Killburn, knq
Grandtotal: 34,923,734,741,500. Top 3: nuclearsamurai, .Mantis., Xx{Midday}xX
Current # of Replays: 1,474,042. Top 3: FlameFalco, sarahxjane (can’t win, staff), DarkRavenX9X, and .Mantis.
Total # of Replays (some of you quasi-cheated): 24,099,430. Top 3: shadow 1800, [TeRa], kcfp_Ice
Total # of MP Games: 5,986,038. Top 3: n0uille (only off by 626!), Strife_Of_The_Ages, cry4eternity
Profile Votes: 920,786. Top 3: keyslayer101, Silver_Brian, star99
Total # of AAAs (some of you quasi-cheated): 170,890. Top 3: DarkProdigy (off by 1!!), Popmeister (off by 157), Xx{Midday}xX
Congrats guys! Subbies will be sent out shortly… and don’t forget that if you are already a subbie, read the sticky in the subbies forum on manual extension of subbies!
As promised, we have SEVEN different interesting statistics for all of you guys to take your best guess on:
Overall Gameplays:
Overall Grand Total Score:
Total AAAs:
Overall Replays Recorded:
Current # of Replays Stored:
# of MP Games Played:
Total Profile Votes:
All of these stats are for all registered users (no guests, sorry), and date back to when the stat was first recorded. Total AAAs will still only count 1 AAA per user per song. AAAing Excite Bike 50 times will still only count as 1. It will also include ALL songs, not just public ones.
Use this link to submit your guesses. ONCE YOU SUBMIT, YOUR ANSWERS ARE FINAL
Contest will run from now (5:55pm EST) until 11:00pm EST. Prizes: Closest on each statistic will get a 6 month subbie, 2nd closest will get 3 months, and 3rd closest will get 1 month. So we’re giving away 21 prizes!
127 Responses to “Spontaneous Contest – #58940-384856.2 – Guess NOW!”
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Posted at 4:54pm on June 23rd, 2008
YEA!!
Posted at 4:55pm on June 23rd, 2008
2nd i think
Posted at 4:59pm on June 23rd, 2008
Submitted.
Posted at 5:00pm on June 23rd, 2008
4th!
Posted at 5:01pm on June 23rd, 2008
Cool
Posted at 5:04pm on June 23rd, 2008
I’ll give it a try.. So we have to guess the total amount of profile votes given to everyone on this site and etc?
Posted at 5:09pm on June 23rd, 2008
done;D
Posted at 5:13pm on June 23rd, 2008
Do we put in commas or not?
Posted at 5:14pm on June 23rd, 2008
This is a really neat idea. I want to know these stats now
Congratulations to anyone who wins!
Posted at 5:19pm on June 23rd, 2008
you can put in commas or no commas. doesn’t matter. they’ll be parsed out.
Posted at 5:23pm on June 23rd, 2008
Submitted.
I’m either really off, or just got really lucky.
Posted at 5:24pm on June 23rd, 2008
I hope I win at least 1 month.
Posted at 5:25pm on June 23rd, 2008
i wanna win
Posted at 5:25pm on June 23rd, 2008
Overall Gameplays:730000000
Overall Grand Total:6444771996584
Total AAA’s:26600
Currently stored replays:1200000
Overall Replays Logged: 27000000
# MP Games Played:73000000
Total Profile Votes:168000
this is the work of 20 minutes lol but i know they must be so off
Posted at 5:25pm on June 23rd, 2008
everyone wants to win
Posted at 5:28pm on June 23rd, 2008
WOW heyitsmee, I have litteraly neraly the same answers as yuou and I posted mine 5 mins ago O.O
Posted at 5:29pm on June 23rd, 2008
I dont really want to win, but I did it anyway.
I really just wanted to make LD and tass’s life more hard.
Posted at 5:30pm on June 23rd, 2008
So do we guess how many of said items there are since the beginning of FFR?
Like on total number of profile views, we put how many everybody has all together?
Posted at 5:30pm on June 23rd, 2008
my bad not views, votes
Posted at 5:33pm on June 23rd, 2008
I put 120mil plays
80bil score
25000 AAAs
30000 stored replays (missed two zeros =X)
300000 replays logged (once again, missing two seros =X)
1mil MP games played
2mil profile votes
Posted at 5:34pm on June 23rd, 2008
“WOW heyitsmee, I have litteraly neraly the same answers as yuou and I posted mine 5 mins ago O.O”
really? thats a sign of the math doing its work properly then…will see
Posted at 5:34pm on June 23rd, 2008
CONGRATULATIONS SYZERGY, YOU JUST WASTED .0000001seconds OF THE COMPUTER’S TIME.
YOU MUST FEEL PROUD
Posted at 5:35pm on June 23rd, 2008
Yeah, I just submitted 7 random numbers of semi-random lengths. I have no idea if any of them are even remotely close.
Posted at 5:37pm on June 23rd, 2008
meno_rocks123:
80bil score? i have 15bil take a look at the grand total top 100 page you got more then 80bil right there
Posted at 5:39pm on June 23rd, 2008
lol but my overall grand total in even more ridicules lol its way to much
Overall Grand Total:6444771996584 blahahaha what did i do hihihi
Posted at 5:50pm on June 23rd, 2008
Time to slam random numbers.
GOGOGO.
Posted at 5:54pm on June 23rd, 2008
hmm looking at heyitsmee’s AAA count, I must be really off.
Posted at 6:01pm on June 23rd, 2008
Random numbers…
Posted at 6:01pm on June 23rd, 2008
Overall Gameplays:six
Overall Grand Total:dos
Total AAA’s:green
Currently stored replays:some
Overall Replays Logged:1
# MP Games Played:wat
Total Profile Votes:over 9000!
what does i win?
Posted at 6:03pm on June 23rd, 2008
you win cookiez! =)
Posted at 6:06pm on June 23rd, 2008
if someone really want to win bad
go to the “R1 – Actual Song Difficulties V2″
i personal edited links on every song name there so it will direct you to the stats page of that song. and there youll see the aaa number of the song.
now do it on all the list there and add it up FTW..for the sure win.
Posted at 6:06pm on June 23rd, 2008
Overall Gameplays: 248,001,752
Overall Grand Total: 42,080,367,925,005 (lol)
Total AAA’s: 68,535
Currently stored replays: 2,185,544
Overall Replays Logged: 24,011,425
# MP Games Played: 3,085,209
Total Profile Votes: 686,755
I think I’m off on a lot of these, but oh well. Hope I win something o_o
Posted at 6:07pm on June 23rd, 2008
And… um… heyitsmee… wouldn’t that be off because many people would have more than one AAA?
Posted at 6:08pm on June 23rd, 2008
Oh wait…. “total AAA’s”… nvm. Good luck to everyone! =)
Posted at 6:11pm on June 23rd, 2008
Submitted answers. I’m confident at least one of them is within 10,000. lol
Posted at 6:11pm on June 23rd, 2008
ya
Posted at 6:27pm on June 23rd, 2008
heyitsme : I have 6,555,555,555,555 for my grand total, which is higher then yours.
From rank 1-45 theres around 900 billion, thats just 46 ranks, add another 1,500,000 rofl.
Posted at 6:30pm on June 23rd, 2008
submitted but prob way off lol
Posted at 6:34pm on June 23rd, 2008
what you submitted 6.555 and i submitted 6.444 separately
thats hella cool..nice
Posted at 6:34pm on June 23rd, 2008
Overall Gameplays: 6912168
Overall Grand Total: 5563804129450
Total AAAs: 22303
Currently Stored Replays: 801265
Overall Replays Logged: 24260676
No. Of MP Games Played: 537555
Total Profile Votes: 50832
Posted at 6:38pm on June 23rd, 2008
I chose 700000000 gameplays,30million less then you
my AAA’s are prob way to high, I chose 90,000
stored replays, I put 1 million rofl
I think a little more then you in replays total
you chose 18,000 more votes then I did xD i put 150,000
Posted at 6:45pm on June 23rd, 2008
wow thats creepy those ARE close especially for those big digit numbers
maybe we both have some past memory of info synth or tass spoke about lol neh but mine was from 100% calculations so ..thats pretty cool nice picks
Posted at 6:49pm on June 23rd, 2008
Done. lol I punched in random numbers.
Posted at 6:51pm on June 23rd, 2008
mine were estimations acording to what my stats are :O
Posted at 6:54pm on June 23rd, 2008
i have an estimation.
we both will lose
Posted at 6:55pm on June 23rd, 2008
I did some major number crunching… I hope I’m at least close
.
Not going to leave my numbers because then people can just change them by one and… yeah not good.
Good luck to everyone though!
Posted at 7:00pm on June 23rd, 2008
lemme do some calculations…
yea, we’ll lose
Posted at 7:03pm on June 23rd, 2008
even if they change them by 1
it makes no difference
only if someone changed 1 digit up and another person 1 digit down and your stuck at the middle
and if you get stuck in the middle with a higher range then 1 then its anyone’s game
Posted at 7:06pm on June 23rd, 2008
and if they do add one and they win, you’re the second closest rofl.
Posted at 7:07pm on June 23rd, 2008
lololol
Posted at 7:10pm on June 23rd, 2008
CORRECT ANSWER
heyitsmee
my score+1
my score
other people
(assuming nobody went over)
In this instance I would lose to you and somebody who copied my submission, and only get a 1 month subbie instead of 3 month. I’m just playing it safe. I don’t mind discussing my ideas privately to those who have already submitted, but I don’t want to display my answers to the public.
Posted at 7:10pm on June 23rd, 2008
I just finished writing the page that shows me who’s closest on each stat… and this is quite interesting
Posted at 7:11pm on June 23rd, 2008
double comment.. sorry… but also if one person thinks it’s a good enough answer to copy, then more than one may as well.
Posted at 7:16pm on June 23rd, 2008
creepy… Emerald, who has bought an asston of gift subbies and t-shirts for other people… is in top3 of THREE different categories. lol. guess that is karma.
Posted at 7:22pm on June 23rd, 2008
amazing! emerald totaly deserves it
now prepare for people asking you your numbers lol.
tass you made his life a little harder poor emerald
Posted at 7:24pm on June 23rd, 2008
you don’t know which 3. and i assume he won’t tell you anyway.
Posted at 7:26pm on June 23rd, 2008
He chose infinity for all of em, therefore he has every number, therfore he wins.
Posted at 7:30pm on June 23rd, 2008
EnR seriously just left me wondering whether or not using “*” for each box would work… ;_;
Posted at 7:35pm on June 23rd, 2008
you want to put a fly in each box?
Posted at 7:40pm on June 23rd, 2008
No, it won’t work
lol
Posted at 7:41pm on June 23rd, 2008
He’s lying.
Posted at 7:42pm on June 23rd, 2008
AAA’s iz the only one thatz clse to actually physically possible to get the exact answer, if youz want to waste your timez going to the top 200 page for all 1051 songs and add up the number of AAA’s listed their, be my geust, but I’m to lazy to doz that
Posted at 7:44pm on June 23rd, 2008
Overall Gameplays:
Overall Grand Total Score:
Total AAAs: 367,972
Overall Replays Recorded: 7,843,267
Current # of Replays Stored: 1,337,666
# of MP Games Played: 1,754,923
Total Profile Votes: 67,984
Posted at 7:45pm on June 23rd, 2008
can i submit with alts?
Posted at 7:45pm on June 23rd, 2008
OOPS!
Gameplays: 27,435,092
Grand Total: 4,234,095,138,392
Add that on to what I had before.
Posted at 7:46pm on June 23rd, 2008
Sorry, I just read what that said…
Posted at 7:48pm on June 23rd, 2008
@Angel: That won’t work, that data is cached, the answer you would get would be thousands off.
Posted at 7:49pm on June 23rd, 2008
custom Total AAAs: 367,972
367,972 / 1000 songs = every song aaad 367 times.
i think thats pretty high with the low number of easy files but it makes me think my number 26600 is too low
Posted at 7:51pm on June 23rd, 2008
I did 80 AAA x 1150 songs, since I added the 1051 public songs + a random number saying that are skill tokens.
Posted at 7:53pm on June 23rd, 2008
crap i put 65,000 profile votes and it went in as 65
o well i think i am was off anyways 
Posted at 7:53pm on June 23rd, 2008
ewwwwwww Math i definatly will not be doing this…..
Posted at 7:55pm on June 23rd, 2008
after all this is over i would want to know the average aaas on a ffr file
well on the easy one it can get to 4500 (excite bike)
but on FOTBB…
Posted at 8:08pm on June 23rd, 2008
Gawd, I have no idea. We’ll see. :p
Posted at 8:13pm on June 23rd, 2008
the winner will probably be someone who did no math whatsoever. XD
Posted at 8:15pm on June 23rd, 2008
Overall Gameplays:498,123
Overall Grand Total Score:2,496,891,210,000
Total AAAs:8,912
Overall Replays Recorded:498,123
Current # of Replays Stored:12,000
# of MP Games Played:67,000
Total Profile Votes:17,849
Posted at 8:15pm on June 23rd, 2008
woops aaa’s was 89,912
Posted at 8:18pm on June 23rd, 2008
that’s a lot of AAA’s…
Posted at 8:25pm on June 23rd, 2008
i totally messed up the AAA count haha
oh well XD
Posted at 8:25pm on June 23rd, 2008
Funny story… when I first ran the report of how many AAA’s there were it was like 3 million, and I was like… that can’t be right
and I was right, lol
Posted at 8:27pm on June 23rd, 2008
i need to find the previous Spontaneous Contest with all the same questions there was one some time ago
it had Overall Gameplays Overall Grand Total thats for sure
Posted at 8:30pm on June 23rd, 2008
lol i found it..
and damn my current guess in way off.
Posted at 8:49pm on June 23rd, 2008
3 million, no way, and if way, then I waz way off, cauz I thought that out of 1,512,000+ members, and 1051 songs, that an average number of AAA’s per song was around 300, then 300 times number of songs and presto, way off, my logic was that majority of songs have 300-50 AAA’s, some have 10-1 AAA’s, and all the easy songs are in the thousands, but averaged out of all songs, I though maybe 300, wayyy off if what LightDarkness saiyz is right
Posted at 8:51pm on June 23rd, 2008
You knowz, I just had a crazy thought, howz about if someone gets the EXACT number for any of these, for every digit exact, they get vrofl, that would be cool, cauz I doubt anyone would geuss it perfectly
Posted at 8:57pm on June 23rd, 2008
lol theres a better chance ET will be the next president
Posted at 9:14pm on June 23rd, 2008
i’m feeling pretty confident about some of my guesses:)
Posted at 9:14pm on June 23rd, 2008
i’m feeling pretty confident about some of my guesses:) we’ll see…
Posted at 9:22pm on June 23rd, 2008
whoops actually I guessed for profile views instead of proflie votes so I guess that’s wrong lol. and sorry about the triple post XD
Posted at 9:58pm on June 23rd, 2008
11:00 now at my placez
Posted at 10:01pm on June 23rd, 2008
11:02
>_> Tass is late.
Posted at 10:01pm on June 23rd, 2008
I hope my guesses are close.
Posted at 10:01pm on June 23rd, 2008
10:00 at my place =P
Posted at 10:04pm on June 23rd, 2008
It ends at 11:00 PM EST.
It’s 11:03 PM EST now.
So the contest is over now.
Posted at 10:05pm on June 23rd, 2008
I guessed a bunch of numbers based on everyone elses numbers on here.:D Hope I get something.
Posted at 10:06pm on June 23rd, 2008
NOOO!!!! Please don’t tell me I’m 5 minutes late!
Posted at 10:07pm on June 23rd, 2008
Omg! i won one woot
Posted at 10:07pm on June 23rd, 2008
The best answer for all the stats? ∞
Counts for every number.
xD
Posted at 10:08pm on June 23rd, 2008
omgomgomgomgomgomg
I won one!
Posted at 10:10pm on June 23rd, 2008
Yay I won 9 months of sub’s in 1 month
Posted at 10:11pm on June 23rd, 2008
i never win anything…
Posted at 10:14pm on June 23rd, 2008
1 month subbie hahaha sweet!!!
Posted at 10:17pm on June 23rd, 2008
there should be a 1 time win for each user imho
Posted at 10:21pm on June 23rd, 2008
haha im blue now! I’m sooo happy 6 month subbie
Posted at 10:22pm on June 23rd, 2008
Awesome. Same here.
Posted at 10:25pm on June 23rd, 2008
subbies given out.
Posted at 10:26pm on June 23rd, 2008
Off by 1? Wonder where I went wrong. Ah well. +6 month subscription!~
Posted at 10:34pm on June 23rd, 2008
DarkProdigy: You must have calculated it at a different time than I did.
Posted at 10:41pm on June 23rd, 2008
lol because I made calculated guesses on about half of them and totally guessed (random numbers) for others. I won on the total guess one haha.
Posted at 11:01pm on June 23rd, 2008
damn I missed this thing =( oh well…I wonder what the numbers was?
Posted at 11:07pm on June 23rd, 2008
Wow nice job, DarkProdigy :3
Posted at 11:10pm on June 23rd, 2008
I’d rather pay FFR to fund it in anyway possible… but I guess I can’t change the prize.
Posted at 11:12pm on June 23rd, 2008
WHAT THE… I WAS THE CLOSEST TO PROFILE VOTES?!!!
lol i thought i wasnt going to win anything
Posted at 11:17pm on June 23rd, 2008
good job to everyone who won!
Posted at 12:36am on June 24th, 2008
Oh my god.
I actually ‘won’
Haha.
Sweet.
Posted at 1:23am on June 24th, 2008
too bad you can’t win anything (replying to sarahxjane)
Posted at 4:38am on June 24th, 2008
.Mantis. – is me
stats
Gameplays: 171,079,352 – my guess 190,000,000 – super close
Grandtotal: 34,923,734,741,500 – my guess 30,000,000,000,000 – super close
Current # of Replays: 1,474,042 -my guess -145000 – incredibly close
Total # of Replays : 24,099,430 – my guess – 32mil neh..
Total # of MP Games: 5,986,038 – my guess 14mil
Profile Votes: 920,786 – my guess -132000
Total # of AAAs : 170,890 – my guess – 360000
i won second place on Grandtotal and
third place on Current # of Replays
i think thats 4 months is my math is correct
i didnt cheat also it was calculations i found the Spontaneous Contest thread fr4om july 2007 and used the info its not cheating its FFR dedication love and knowledge of events
but i dont have any use of the subby since its an alt
and i bought a 1 year from emrald for 160k
i think i might open a store on the selling thread and sell my user name .mantis. with 4 months of subby
well see how that will go
Posted at 4:57am on June 24th, 2008
btw Emerald000 in first place lol thats awesome you deserve it man !! incredible
Posted at 5:02am on June 24th, 2008
“#
#
#
#
square45: heyitsmee
Posted at 6:54pm on June 23rd, 2008
i have an estimation.
we both will lose
square47: EnR
Posted at 7:00pm on June 23rd, 2008
lemme do some calculations…
yea, we’ll lose
”
lol sometimes I’m wrong and its good
Posted at 7:49am on June 24th, 2008
Awwww…..how unfair
During this contest I was sleeping or I was in school..
Posted at 8:49am on June 24th, 2008
170,000+ AAA’s? Wow… that’s definitely more than I thought. Oh well, hopefully there’ll be more chances for subbie prizes…
Posted at 12:00pm on June 24th, 2008
damn i waited for this all night but i never saw it wtf
Posted at 1:11pm on June 24th, 2008
6 months? Nice. I also looked for the last spontaneous contest and made a small graph of the evolution of score/time and gameplays/time. I also cheated for a couple of others, but I guess some did better than me. Did the stats were compiled at the start or the end of the event? That might have influenced my results.
@ whoever made the post: My name is emerald000 not Emerald000. ;P
Posted at 1:20pm on June 24th, 2008
Ahh! its only right that someone who is veteran enough to remember the same contest from last year search it and use it to do the math will win this year
good job emerald000
Posted at 11:04pm on June 24th, 2008
I read that as “stubbies will be sent out to the winners”
Posted at 12:47am on June 25th, 2008
I didn’t search. I just used math at around 10:37 pm.
Posted at 1:28am on June 27th, 2008
Rawr.I am a panda.. XD
Posted at 5:11am on June 27th, 2008
what is quasi cheating?
Posted at 3:52pm on June 29th, 2008
Why is it that everytime i try to play a game…at the end of the song, my rank is always undefined now…XD..