TWG XLV: Let's Play Danmaku Detective Game!

[JurseyRider734]

Re: TWG XLV: Let's Play Danmaku Detective Game!

Oh ****. I thought it said who was a blue, human, red, etc. Man, that sucks.

[sertman]

Re: TWG XLV: Let's Play Danmaku Detective Game!

Running some ideas through my head...

We're really in trouble if Flaw is a blue wolf mason. If that's true, then he's in the perfect position to fake a role such as this.

If he's a master wolf, he's screwed if he's seered because he'll show up green to a seer.

If he's human, the list is invaluable. I don't know flaw so I don't know how much balls he has to try to fake something like this, but I don't want this list to be carried with the grave with him if he's telling the truth.

I think that the first and the third ideas are the most likely.

[talisman]

Re: TWG XLV: Let's Play Danmaku Detective Game!

error "blue wolf" does not compute

[DarkManticoreX2]

Re: TWG XLV: Let's Play Danmaku Detective Game!

From what Flaw told me this morning over AIM, He basically got four names
(these aren't the names I'm making stuff up shhhhhhh.)

for all we know, that list includes Stoic, Me, himself and fiction and he was told that out of those 4 people one is red, one is blue, one is green and one is illegal. He doesn't know which one is which, or the name of the illegal.

[DarkManticoreX2]

Re: TWG XLV: Let's Play Danmaku Detective Game!

That post was supposed to go under fiction's quote of jurs, but I got interrupted by work so I got nijaed by like 6 people. XD

[Kefit]

Re: TWG XLV: Let's Play Danmaku Detective Game!

No, it's 2/3 since illegals are blues as well, at least to the wolves.

God dammit people, stop assuming that this is a normal TWG. The illegals could just as easily be on the side of the wolves as they could be on the side of the humans.

Also consider that intelligent lottery guarding will guard the revealed names, and that there might also be a guardian out there (maybe even two!) who can guard the revealed names. The wolves by no means have free reigns to kill whomever they please on a list that is posted.

[flawofhumanity]

Re: TWG XLV: Let's Play Danmaku Detective Game!

Ok guys, after reading all this, I'm going to attempt to contact all 4 people tonight before the night ends and I'll post whatever there is double of (there WILL be double of something), if I don't get to talk to all 4, I will leave the names with either the forums or someone I've actually talked to at least. Also, to clarify, I do NOT know who has what role. Again, I'd like to clarify, it is IMPERATIVE that you don't lie to me about the color of your role. If even one human/illegal/blue fakes for another role, the results of our plan will be skewered and will result in the lynching of a human, which I do NOT want to happen. If you don't trust me, just tell me. Do NOT lie.

[Kefit]

Re: TWG XLV: Let's Play Danmaku Detective Game!

Also, about lottery guarding:

Now we have a name of someone to protect: Flaw. If he publicly posts the list, then his job is done, and we should each instead should pick one of the people he lists as the guard choice, so as to provide disincentive to the wolves to go after those roles.

And yes, if Flaw posts the list, I will be leaning towards believing it, as I believe that bull****ting out four names as a wolf is a bit too risky to really be worthwhile.

[Kefit]

Re: TWG XLV: Let's Play Danmaku Detective Game!

Ok guys, after reading all this, I'm going to attempt to contact all 4 people tonight before the night ends and I'll post whatever there is double of (there WILL be double of something), if I don't get to talk to all 4, I will leave the names with either the forums or someone I've actually talked to at least. Also, to clarify, I do NOT know who has what role. Again, I'd like to clarify, it is IMPERATIVE that you don't lie to me about the color of your role. If even one human/illegal/blue fakes for another role, the results of our plan will be skewered and will result in the lynching of a human, which I do NOT want to happen. If you don't trust me, just tell me. Do NOT lie.

Saying "I don't trust you" is exactly the same as saying "I'm not green" which is exactly the same as saying "wolf me plz."

[roundbox]

Re: TWG XLV: Let's Play Danmaku Detective Game!

LOL DARMA

Flaw's list is a pretty interesting role. I believe him that this role does exist, mainly because this is the most random TWG I've ever seen.

@talis
Blue wolf mason. This means when he is seered, he comes back blue to the seer, but he is in fact a wolf.

@kefit
Lottery on flaw should only be done if he posts that list.

[Kefit]

Re: TWG XLV: Let's Play Danmaku Detective Game!

Lottery on Flaw is utterly meaningless once he posts the list. Once the list is posted, everyone knows just as much as he does, and so we have no more to lose from Flaw dying than we do from any other human dying. And you know what folks? This is the best position we can be in. Once the information gets out there publicly, the wolves can't stop it.

At this point we should then guard the people on the list, so that the wolves don't try and nail the blue or possibly human beneficial illegal.

[roundbox]

Re: TWG XLV: Let's Play Danmaku Detective Game!

Ugh... now that you mention blues I think we shouldn't post the list. Sure, we'd gain a wolf kill, but who knows, maybe the blue role that's revealed will be the greatest towards the humans. Greatest aid, that is. Also, using the lottery on said blue wouldn't always be 100% efficient, seeing as if the results will always be random.
It'll probably go..

Let's say three people were voted upon for lottery. A, B, and C.
A receives 5 votes
B receives 14 votes
C receives 1 vote.
There would be a 1/4 chance person A is guarded
There would be a 7/10 chance person B is guarded
There would be a 1/20 chance person C is guarded

Odds are in person B's favors, but still, A and C still have a combined chance of 3/10 of stealing the guard from B.

[roundbox]

Re: TWG XLV: Let's Play Danmaku Detective Game!

Note that I'm referring to night one, the number of people will decrease, meaning the divisor will also decrease, giving greater/lesser chances of people of being randomly guarded.

Also given the fact that said person is being wolfed, anyways.

[Moogy]

Re: TWG XLV: Let's Play Danmaku Detective Game!


A WILD ZUN APPEARS

[MilfeulleSakuraba]

Re: TWG XLV: Let's Play Danmaku Detective Game!

hello #shrinemaiden

how r u

ps lol moogy gtfo