The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

[benny58624]

Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

There are a few people who have only gotten 7k the entire contest (and have participated everyday).

I was one of these people, and got 500 credits again, lol.

The probability to gain a maximum of 7500 credits AND no token in 11 days is around 2.5%-3% (calculated with noname219's estimated probabilities) .
The chance to get a token in 11 days is around 20% (assuming the chance at a token is 1/50).

[FFR Events]

Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

[QUOTE=benny58624;4250368
The probability to gain a maximum of 7500 credits AND no token in 11 days is around 2.5%-3% (calculated with noname219's estimated probabilities) .[/QUOTE]

more like 8%

[ItsOnlyDanO]

Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

well I called getting 500 today and got it

guess I can't complain

[Dark Saga]

Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

500 today...

calling that tomorrow I will get 1000 only to equal my prizes.

[benny58624]

Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

more like 8%

Are you sure? How I calculated the probability:
P(no token and max. 7500 credits in 11 days)=
P(no token in 11 days)P(max. 7500 credits in 11 days)=
P(no token in 11 days)(P(11x 500 credits)+P(10x 500 credits and 1x 1000 credits)+P(9x 500 credits and 2x 1000 credits)+
P(8x 500 credits and 3x 1000 credits)+P(7x 500 credits and 4x 1000 credits))=

I could have made a mistake, let me know if you find one.
Approximated chances were used so the result isn't 100% correct.
I tested the formula on different chances for 500 and 1000 credits, and found this: to get a 8% chance, the probability to get (500 or 1000) credits on a day needs to be more than 85% OR the probability to get 500 credits on a day needs to be higher than 50%. Both options seem unlikely (but possible).

If you say 8% because for example 7 out of the 87 players didn't get more than 7500 credits and no token: this doesn't give the real probability, but just an approximate chance out a sample.

[gold stinger]

Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

mfw a person I've never really heard of posts in this thread and I'm blown away.

[ballet dude]

Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

W00T 25k today.

[Surt]

Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

Welp, 0 tokens.

1000 -> 500 -> 500 -> 500 -> 10000 -> 1000 -> 5000 -> 1000 -> 500 -> 500 -> 500 -> 500

Total 21.5k...can't complain too much

[User1176756]

Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

Least it ended alright. Last 3 days was 5k, 10k, 5k.

[blindreper1179]

Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

Ended with 1k, not bad.

[Destroy2777]

Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

I literally put my hands together in hope before looking at the credit result... and then said "It's 500, isn't it?"

It was.

Still, I guess 16.5k credits seems decent enough.

[Tarrik]

Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

Got 5k this time :') Thanks for the event guys

[alster1]

Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

1000/5000/500/500/500/500/1000/500/1000/500/500/500
MEH. 12k overall is always nice, but still. People earned more than that in one day. I really really hope I get that prize for participating in all 12 days.

[hi19hi19]

Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

10000 + 500 + 500 + 1000 + 1000 + 500 + 500 + 500 + 500 + 25000 + 500 + 5000
= 45500

Not bad, I really enjoyed it.
Curious to see what the big mega-prize is!

[gold stinger]

Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

151k -> 500 -> 1000 -> 1000 -> 500 -> 500 -> 50k -> 1000 -> 500 -> 1000 -> 1000 -> 500

total is 258.5k credits.

ps I hate you FFR Events ruining my hype & stuff.