The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

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  • MarcusHawkins
    The Punny Anti-PA Guy
    • Jun 2013
    • 1219

    #181
    Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

    Originally posted by foxfire667
    Are you just taking any old wager or making any old bet? Believe it or not there is a method to getting fairly consistent gains from the gambling hall, barring some unholy awful luck.

    Basically as you win more you have a greater chance of losing and vice-versa. So what you want to do essentially is bet less or take a smaller wager when you win, and do the opposite when you lose. The more times you lose, the higher your next bet or wager taken should be, and the opposite for winning.
    That's what I thought, but when you lose, you can take a higher bet, and still LOSE. OR you can take a higher bet, and win.

    Originally posted by Ghost_Medley

    This man is three months too early.
    Originally posted by badman7772
    Guess I'll take another Quality Pack please. I won't have Hawkins luck but I'm sure I'll have badluck7772.

    Originally posted by _Zenith_
    what the fuck marcus lmao

    Originally posted by rushyrulz
    You should all thank MarcusHawkins btw

    Originally posted by DDRNGGin
    Marcus is probably going to be the main man to win this (You will always be my DDR brother for life, MarcusHawkins! )

    Originally posted by Sky Kitten
    Best Newbie
    1st: MarcusHawkins: 4

    Up And Coming FFRer
    2nd: MarcusHawkins: 3

    Comment

    • tosh
      O Derby, Where Art Thou?
      • Jul 2003
      • 1018

      #182
      Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

      Originally posted by MarcusHawkins
      1000/500/1000/5000/500/1000

      Also, I think I'm really bad with the Gambling hall.
      I took the wager for 50,000 credits again, and lost again.

      That's 2 losses with taken wagers of 50,000 credits in a row. What am I doing with this site??
      I was 0/13 on 100k+ bets before I decided to never use the gambling hall again.

      Some of us are just destined to have bad luck with it.

      Comment

      • gold stinger
        Signature Extraordinare~~
        Event Staff
        Game Manager
        FFR Simfile Author
        FFR Music Producer
        • Jan 2007
        • 6428

        #183
        Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

        Originally posted by FFR Events
        That's Mr. FFR Events to you!
        You don't deserve Mr. because you are an entity not a physical person, just like every other username on this website unless your username is your physical name in real life.

        just an fyi (sun)
        Last edited by gold stinger; 12-18-2014, 02:26 PM.
        Originally posted by YoshL
        butts.


        - Tosh 2014






        Comment

        • j-rodd123
          End of the road
          • Oct 2006
          • 3692

          #184
          Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

          Originally posted by tosh
          I was 0/13 on 100k+ bets before I decided to never use the gambling hall again.

          Some of us are just destined to have bad luck with it.
          ya like back when they had 1 mill wagers i won my first one, then proceeded to lose my next 7 to bring my 1 mill credit wagers to a whopping 1/8

          Originally posted by FictionJunction
          wow

          Comment

          • foxfire667
            The FFRchiver
            FFR Music Producer
            • Jun 2009
            • 2169

            #185
            Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

            Originally posted by MarcusHawkins
            That's what I thought, but when you lose, you can take a higher bet, and still LOSE. OR you can take a higher bet, and win.
            Yes you can, which is why you must be willing to take the risk. If you get to the point where you lost 500/1k/5k/10k, you have to be willing to make the subsequent 25k bet, and so on. It's a risk, but as you lose more, the odds of no recovery at all are ridiculously low.

            When it comes to a winning streak, it's not worth it to peruse because every win stacks against you exponentially. You'd be better off trying to break the streak on low level bets.
            SM pack archiver | 1.5 Billion Club | Etterna Online: [Register]

            Comment

            • MarcusHawkins
              The Punny Anti-PA Guy
              • Jun 2013
              • 1219

              #186
              Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

              So this method is only useful if you know its range. I lost 5 times in a row, and won 5 times in a row, stuff like that. That's a high range, and I don't know when I should take a low bet, or a high bet. Sometimes I win, lose, win, lose in that order as well. This can also affect the way my next bet should be.

              I don't know, maybe I should go for less luck, and more skill.

              Wow, this post actually makes sense to go after what the previous post was (which I didn't see)
              Last edited by MarcusHawkins; 12-18-2014, 02:33 PM. Reason: Coincidence

              Originally posted by Ghost_Medley

              This man is three months too early.
              Originally posted by badman7772
              Guess I'll take another Quality Pack please. I won't have Hawkins luck but I'm sure I'll have badluck7772.

              Originally posted by _Zenith_
              what the fuck marcus lmao

              Originally posted by rushyrulz
              You should all thank MarcusHawkins btw

              Originally posted by DDRNGGin
              Marcus is probably going to be the main man to win this (You will always be my DDR brother for life, MarcusHawkins! )

              Originally posted by Sky Kitten
              Best Newbie
              1st: MarcusHawkins: 4

              Up And Coming FFRer
              2nd: MarcusHawkins: 3

              Comment

              • rushyrulz
                Digital Dancing!
                FFR Simfile Author
                FFR Music Producer
                • Feb 2006
                • 12985

                #187
                Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

                Expected Value and YOU
                Last edited by rushyrulz; 12-18-2014, 02:33 PM.


                Comment

                • j-rodd123
                  End of the road
                  • Oct 2006
                  • 3692

                  #188
                  Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

                  not even real money, quit caring

                  Originally posted by FictionJunction
                  wow

                  Comment

                  • foxfire667
                    The FFRchiver
                    FFR Music Producer
                    • Jun 2009
                    • 2169

                    #189
                    Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

                    Originally posted by MarcusHawkins
                    So this method is only useful if you know its range. I lost 5 times in a row, and won 5 times in a row, stuff like that. That's a high range, and I don't know when I should take a low bet, or a high bet. Sometimes I win, lose, win, lose in that order as well. This can also affect the way my next bet should be.
                    Well where you start depends on how much risk you want to take. Technically the safest possible strategy would be to bet 10 credits / take 10 credit wagers, and go to the next tier of credit wager every time you lose. If you win even a single time, you return to the 10 credit bet.

                    However due to the slow going of he gambling hall that method won't get you much credits. As such, you might want to have a higher baseline instead of 10 (like 1k or something).
                    SM pack archiver | 1.5 Billion Club | Etterna Online: [Register]

                    Comment

                    • gold stinger
                      Signature Extraordinare~~
                      Event Staff
                      Game Manager
                      FFR Simfile Author
                      FFR Music Producer
                      • Jan 2007
                      • 6428

                      #190
                      Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

                      Originally posted by j-rodd123
                      not even real money, quit caring
                      this is a stickup give me all your credits
                      Originally posted by YoshL
                      butts.


                      - Tosh 2014






                      Comment

                      • yo man im awesome
                        soleil ardent
                        FFR Simfile Author
                        • May 2007
                        • 6514

                        #191
                        Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

                        threw 100k in gamble hall someone take my money pls

                        Originally posted by choof
                        you double dad loving dipshit
                        Originally posted by t-rogdor
                        dammit now i have to smoke a picture of choof out of a bong
                        Originally posted by smartdude1212
                        I can't be the only guy who has wondered what it'd be like to menstruate all over the shower.

                        Comment

                        • rushyrulz
                          Digital Dancing!
                          FFR Simfile Author
                          FFR Music Producer
                          • Feb 2006
                          • 12985

                          #192
                          Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

                          lost the 100k, won the 250k


                          Comment

                          • TheSaxRunner05
                            The Doctor
                            • Apr 2006
                            • 6144

                            #193
                            Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

                            Awesome, 25k Credits.

                            Edit:// Make it 35K after I wagered 10k in the gambling hall lol
                            Last edited by TheSaxRunner05; 12-18-2014, 02:54 PM.


                            Comment

                            • foxfire667
                              The FFRchiver
                              FFR Music Producer
                              • Jun 2009
                              • 2169

                              #194
                              Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

                              Ooh nice the gambling hall is getting a little more active!

                              EDIT: Who took the 500K, and did you win?
                              Last edited by foxfire667; 12-18-2014, 02:54 PM.
                              SM pack archiver | 1.5 Billion Club | Etterna Online: [Register]

                              Comment

                              • MarcusHawkins
                                The Punny Anti-PA Guy
                                • Jun 2013
                                • 1219

                                #195
                                Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar

                                Originally posted by foxfire667
                                Ooh nice the gambling hall is getting a little more active!

                                EDIT: Who took the 500K, and did you win?
                                Yea! Glad I mentioned it! Also, that must've been pretty intense for the person who accepted the 500k! (Probably not the person who waged the 500k since (s)he just threw it out there!)

                                Originally posted by Ghost_Medley

                                This man is three months too early.
                                Originally posted by badman7772
                                Guess I'll take another Quality Pack please. I won't have Hawkins luck but I'm sure I'll have badluck7772.

                                Originally posted by _Zenith_
                                what the fuck marcus lmao

                                Originally posted by rushyrulz
                                You should all thank MarcusHawkins btw

                                Originally posted by DDRNGGin
                                Marcus is probably going to be the main man to win this (You will always be my DDR brother for life, MarcusHawkins! )

                                Originally posted by Sky Kitten
                                Best Newbie
                                1st: MarcusHawkins: 4

                                Up And Coming FFRer
                                2nd: MarcusHawkins: 3

                                Comment

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